METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Welterweight
VS
71%
McGregor
29%
Cerrone
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:40
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:40
def. Donald Cerrone · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
McGregor's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGregorCerrone
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGregor
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.5
28.2
67.0
Performance Avg
53.0
67
Quality of Victory
47
85
Momentum Score
63
McGregor
Cerrone
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
6.7
2.9
Style: Volume
3.7
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
3Clinch0
13Ground0
McGregor
Cerrone
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.6
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGregor
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
McGregor
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
McGregor
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
70%
8
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
6
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGregor
Cerrone
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
McGregorCerrone
Strike Zones
McGregor
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedCerrone
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGregor targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGregor
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGregor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierUFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01