METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Ankalaev
37%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:19
Magomed
Magomed Ankalaev
212
6'3"75" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 67
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
2011
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 40
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:19
def. Ion Cutelaba · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Ankalaev holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Cutelaba has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevCutelaba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
40.0
60.6
Performance Avg
46.2
43
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
26
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.4
Style: Volume
3.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
2
Body
2
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance11
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Striking7.1 / 5.3Volume5.4 / 3.6Grappling1.1 / 2.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure6.4 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Ankalaev
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Ankalaev
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Cutelaba
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (45% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ankalaev
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Ankalaev · Last 5

W · KO · R5
Bogdan Guskov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex Pereira
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar Rakic
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Cutelaba · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar Sy
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas Bukauskas
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo Aslan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan Erslan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Magomed Ankalaev · Ion Cutelaba
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