METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Ankalaev
37%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:19
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:19
def. Ion Cutelaba · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ankalaev holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Cutelaba has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevCutelaba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
40.0
60.6
Performance Avg
46.2
43
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
26
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.4
Style: Volume
3.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
5
2
Body
2
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance11
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Cutelaba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
AnkalaevCutelaba
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCutelaba
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (45% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Cutelaba · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

