METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Lightweight
VS
70%
Diakiese
30%
Packalen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:30
★ Official Result
Marc DiakiesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:30
def. Teemu Packalen · UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diakiese
→
Actual result
Diakiese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diakiese is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Packalen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Packalen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Packalen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiakiesePackalen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diakiese
Packalen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Packalen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
16.0
41.2
Performance Avg
42.4
33
Quality of Victory
54
88
Momentum Score
29
Diakiese
Packalen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Diakiese
Packalen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Packalen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Diakiese
Packalen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diakiese
Packalen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Packalen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DiakiesePackalen
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPackalen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (33% of attacks) — Packalen absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Packalen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Packalen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Packalen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
L · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Packalen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Marc DiakieseRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Mickael LeboutRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07