METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Lightweight
VS
70%
Diakiese
30%
Packalen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:30
★ Official Result
Marc DiakiesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:30
def. Teemu Packalen · UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diakiese
→
Actual result
Diakiese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diakiese is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Packalen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Packalen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiakiesePackalen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diakiese
Packalen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Packalen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
16.0
41.2
Performance Avg
42.4
33
Quality of Victory
54
88
Momentum Score
29
Diakiese
Packalen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
7.1
Style: Volume
0.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Diakiese
Packalen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Packalen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Diakiese
Packalen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diakiese
Packalen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Packalen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DiakiesePackalen
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPackalen
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (33% of attacks) — Packalen absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Packalen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Packalen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Packalen · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Marc DiakieseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Thibault GoutiSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Mickael LeboutDecision
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