UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Featherweight
VS
36%
Phan
64%
Hettes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hettes
Hettes holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Phan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hettes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Phan throws more volume but Hettes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Phan
Hettes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Phan
Hettes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.6
19.1
25.0
Performance Avg
44.8
25
Quality of Victory
41
35
Momentum Score
76
Phan
Hettes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
19
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground13
Phan
Hettes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phan
Hettes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/38 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Phan
Hettes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Phan
Hettes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phan
Hettes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
PhanHettes
Strike Zones
Phan
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHettes
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phan targets the head (56% of attacks) — Hettes absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Hettes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Phan absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phan
RND
Hettes
0/0R00/0
Phan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hettes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Phan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Jimy HettesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Hettes · Last 5
L · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Robert WhitefordRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcus BrimageRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12