METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Nakamura
41%
Fletcher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:02
★ Official Result
Rinya NakamurawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:02
def. Nathan Fletcher · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nakamura
→
Actual result
Nakamura wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nakamura at 59% vs Fletcher at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NakamuraFletcher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nakamura
Fletcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
31
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Fletcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.9
48.6
63.5
Performance Avg
43.0
53
Quality of Victory
50
92
Momentum Score
35
Nakamura
Fletcher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
4
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Nakamura
Fletcher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Fletcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Nakamura
Fletcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Nakamura
Fletcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nakamura
Fletcher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NakamuraFletcher
Strike Zones
Nakamura
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFletcher
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fletcher absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fletcher targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nakamura
RND
Fletcher
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nakamura · Last 5
Upcoming
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