UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Nakamura
41%
Fletcher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:02
RN
Rinya Nakamura
"Hybred"
10 – 1
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw31 yrsStriker
CFR 70
Nathan
Nathan Fletcher
9 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nakamura

This is a genuine toss-up — Nakamura at 59% vs Fletcher at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Nakamura throws more volume but Fletcher connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Nakamura
Fletcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
31
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Fletcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.9
48.6
63.5
Performance Avg
43.0
53
Quality of Victory
50
92
Momentum Score
35
Nakamura
Fletcher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
64%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
4
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Nakamura
Fletcher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Fletcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Nakamura
Fletcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Nakamura
Fletcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nakamura
Fletcher
Striking6.6 / 0.7Volume5.6 / 0.7Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure5.9 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Nakamura
Strike Zones
Fletcher
Nakamura
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Fletcher
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fletcher absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fletcher targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nakamura
RND
Fletcher
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.3W4.5W5.8W5.5L5.7W2023-022023-082024-022025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Fletcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.6L3.2L2024-092025-032025-08
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nathan FletcherRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Carlos VeraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

Fletcher · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Rinya NakamuraRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Sub · R2
Zygimantas RamaskaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

News & Media

Rinya Nakamura · Nathan Fletcher
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