UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Overeem
53%
Browne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Browne
This is a genuine toss-up — Overeem at 47% vs Browne at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Browne throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Browne has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Overeem
Browne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
80"+
Reach
79"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Browne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
20.1
55.0
Performance Avg
55.1
52
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
78
Overeem
Browne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.8
73%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
8
18
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance9
25Clinch3
11Ground2
Overeem
Browne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Browne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Overeem
Browne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
78
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Overeem
Browne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
89%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Overeem
Browne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
OvereemBrowne
Strike Zones
Overeem
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBrowne
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (51% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Browne targets the head (57% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Overeem
RND
Browne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Overeem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Browne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Browne · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01