METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Rakic
65%
Murzakanov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:11
★ Official Result
Azamat MurzakanovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:11
def. Aleksandar Rakic · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murzakanov
→
Actual result
Murzakanov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Murzakanov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Murzakanov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Rakic's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RakicMurzakanov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rakic
Murzakanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rakic
Murzakanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.3
72.4
44.3
Performance Avg
64.3
35
Quality of Victory
50
30
Momentum Score
100
Rakic
Murzakanov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
8.4
6.9
Style: Volume
3.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
3
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Rakic
Murzakanov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rakic
Murzakanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Rakic
Murzakanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Rakic
Murzakanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rakic
Murzakanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
RakicMurzakanov
Strike Zones
Rakic
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMurzakanov
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rakic targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Murzakanov targets the body (67% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rakic
RND
Murzakanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Murzakanov · Last 5
Upcoming
Dominick ReyesUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroKO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08