UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
34%
Rakic
66%
Murzakanov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:11
Aleksandar
Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
14 – 6
6'4"78" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Azamat
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
16 – 1
Knockout Artist37 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murzakanov

Murzakanov holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Murzakanov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Murzakanov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rakic's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rakic
Murzakanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rakic
Murzakanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
72.4
43.8
Performance Avg
64.3
37
Quality of Victory
50
25
Momentum Score
100
Rakic
Murzakanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
62%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
3
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Rakic
Murzakanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rakic
Murzakanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Rakic
Murzakanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rakic
Murzakanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rakic
Murzakanov
Striking4.4 / 10.0Volume6.4 / 3.0Grappling1.6 / 0.4Wrestling1.1 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Rakic
Strike Zones
Murzakanov
Rakic
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY6LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Murzakanov
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY6LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rakic targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Murzakanov targets the body (67% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rakic
RND
Murzakanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rakic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.3L5.7W4.5W3.3L4.4L7.0L3.4L2017-092019-062021-032024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Murzakanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5W5.9W6.1W5.2W5.1W5.0L2022-032023-042025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Rakic · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

Murzakanov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Aleksandar Rakic · Azamat Murzakanov
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