UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Welterweight
VS
47%
Quinlan
53%
Barlow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barlow
This is a genuine toss-up — Quinlan at 47% vs Barlow at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Quinlan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Barlow has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Quinlan
Barlow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+79"
33
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Quinlan
Barlow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.7
49.8
46.0
Performance Avg
42.5
60
Quality of Victory
38
22
Momentum Score
66
Quinlan
Barlow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
35%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
22
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Quinlan
Barlow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quinlan
Barlow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Quinlan
Barlow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Quinlan
Barlow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quinlan
Barlow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
QuinlanBarlow
Strike Zones
Quinlan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedBarlow
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quinlan targets the head (57% of attacks) — Barlow absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Barlow targets the head (92% of attacks) — Quinlan absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quinlan
RND
Barlow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Quinlan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Barlow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Quinlan · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Adam FugittRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R3
Danny BarlowRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Trey WatersRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
Barlow · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Djorden SantosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

