METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Middleweight
VS
69%
McVey
31%
Dumas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:14
★ Official Result
Jackson McVeywinsSubmissionR1 · 2:14
def. Sedriques Dumas · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McVey
→
Actual result
McVey wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McVey holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Dumas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McVey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Risk flags
Dumas has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McVeyDumas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McVey
Dumas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+79"
27+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McVey
Dumas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.6
27.6
54.2
Performance Avg
30.0
57
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
35
McVey
Dumas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
1.1
1.0
Style: Volume
8.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
5
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
5Clinch2
14Ground0
McVey
Dumas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McVey
Dumas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
McVey
Dumas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
McVey
Dumas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McVey
Dumas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
McVeyDumas
Strike Zones
McVey
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDumas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McVey targets the head (76% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Dumas targets the body (67% of attacks) — McVey absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McVey
RND
Dumas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McVey · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Wes SchultzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Sedriques DumasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Zach ReeseSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
Dumas · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Donte JohnsonSubmission
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Upcoming
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L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Denis TiuliulinDecision
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