UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
41%
Jauregui
59%
Gomes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20
Yazmin
Yazmin Jauregui
11 – 2
5'3"64" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Denise
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
12 – 3
Striker4-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'2"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gomes

This is a genuine toss-up — Jauregui at 41% vs Gomes at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Jauregui throws more volume but Gomes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jauregui's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jauregui
Gomes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
64"+
Reach
63"
27
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jauregui
Gomes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
60.0
45.0
Performance Avg
54.5
35
Quality of Victory
41
48
Momentum Score
74
Jauregui
Gomes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Jauregui
Gomes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jauregui
Gomes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Jauregui
Gomes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
74
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jauregui
Gomes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jauregui
Gomes
Striking4.5 / 6.5Volume6.5 / 5.5Grappling1.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Jauregui
Strike Zones
Gomes
Jauregui
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Gomes
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gomes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jauregui absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jauregui
RND
Gomes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jauregui · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.4W5.2W2.8L5.2W1.9L2022-082022-122023-072024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Gomes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.4L5.2W5.3W5.6L5.3W4.5W5.2W5.2W2022-092023-072024-062025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Jauregui · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ketlen SouzaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Istela NunesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08

Gomes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Elise ReedRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Yazmin Jauregui · Denise Gomes
← Back to fights