METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Hunt
47%
Nelson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:00
★ Official Result
Mark HuntwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:00
def. Roy Nelson · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hunt
→
Actual result
Hunt wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hunt at 53% vs Nelson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Nelson throws more volume but Hunt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hunt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nelson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HuntNelson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hunt
Nelson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
52
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hunt
Nelson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
18.5
53.0
Performance Avg
55.6
55
Quality of Victory
61
91
Momentum Score
26
Hunt
Nelson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Hunt
Nelson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hunt
Nelson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/36 fights
Hunt
Nelson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Hunt
Nelson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hunt
Nelson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
HuntNelson
Strike Zones
Hunt
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedNelson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hunt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nelson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hunt
RND
Nelson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hunt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Nelson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hunt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09