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UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Featherweight
VS
44%
Emmers
56%
Sabatini
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:53
Jamall
Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
228
5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Pat
Pat Sabatini
225
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Pat SabatiniwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:53
def. Jamall Emmers · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sabatini
Actual result
Sabatini wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Emmers at 44% vs Sabatini at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Emmers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Emmers's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sabatini has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EmmersSabatini
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Emmers
Sabatini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmers
Sabatini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
55.7
45.6
Performance Avg
53.2
39
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
81
Emmers
Sabatini
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
6
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Emmers
Sabatini
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmers
Sabatini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Emmers
Sabatini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
81
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Emmers
Sabatini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmers
Sabatini
Striking5.1 / 1.6Volume5.9 / 7.0Grappling1.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.0 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Emmers
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Emmers
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sabatini
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmers targets the body (60% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sabatini targets the head (100% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmers
RND
Sabatini
0/0R00/0

Emmers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L4.5W2.5L4.5W6.3L5.5W2.2L5.5W5.6W2020-032023-022024-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Sabatini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W1.8L5.3W2.8L5.5W6.1W5.6W5.5W2021-042022-042023-112025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Emmers · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Sabatini · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Jamall Emmers · Pat Sabatini
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