UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Featherweight
VS
44%
Emmers
56%
Sabatini
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sabatini
This is a genuine toss-up — Emmers at 44% vs Sabatini at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Emmers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Emmers's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sabatini has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Emmers
Sabatini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmers
Sabatini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
55.7
45.6
Performance Avg
53.2
39
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
81
Emmers
Sabatini
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
6
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Emmers
Sabatini
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmers
Sabatini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Emmers
Sabatini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
81
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Emmers
Sabatini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmers
Sabatini
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
EmmersSabatini
Strike Zones
Emmers
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSabatini
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmers targets the body (60% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sabatini targets the head (100% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmers
RND
Sabatini
0/0R00/0
Emmers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sabatini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Emmers · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11