UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
Hardy
43%
Malecki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hardy
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 57% vs Malecki at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malecki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy
Malecki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'9"
64"
Reach
+74"
30+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Malecki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
31.4
38.5
Performance Avg
49.0
31
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
83
Hardy
Malecki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
32
1
Body
12
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance40
2Clinch4
0Ground2
Hardy
Malecki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Malecki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/5 fights
Hardy
Malecki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
83
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Hardy
Malecki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Malecki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
HardyMalecki
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedMalecki
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (94% of attacks) — Malecki absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Malecki targets the head (70% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Malecki
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Malecki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Malecki · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Josiane NunesRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R2
Duda SantanaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
