UFC 101: Declaration
Philadelphia, USA
8 Aug 2009
Welterweight
VS
49%
Howard
51%
McCrory
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCrory
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 49% vs McCrory at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McCrory has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: McCrory throws more volume but Howard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McCrory has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Howard
McCrory
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Howard
McCrory
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
14.3
40.1
Performance Avg
44.7
34
Quality of Victory
45
40
Momentum Score
20
Howard
McCrory
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground1
Howard
McCrory
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
McCrory
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Howard
McCrory
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Howard
McCrory
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
McCrory
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HowardMcCrory
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMcCrory
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (33% of attacks) — McCrory absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯McCrory targets the head (67% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
McCrory
0/0R00/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
McCrory · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
McCrory · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Krzysztof JotkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Sub · R3
Josh SammanRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan MadiganRating 5KO/TKO
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