UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Welterweight
VS
47%
LaFlare
53%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RL
Ryan LaFlare
14 – 3
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

This is a genuine toss-up — LaFlare at 47% vs Garcia at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

LaFlare has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

LaFlare's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

LaFlare
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
LaFlare
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
16.6
43.0
Performance Avg
46.3
25
Quality of Victory
44
60
Momentum Score
40
LaFlare
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
5
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
LaFlare
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
LaFlare
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
LaFlare
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
LaFlare
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

LaFlare
Garcia
Striking1.4 / 5.0Volume9.4 / 4.2Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure2.1 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
LaFlare
Strike Zones
Garcia
LaFlare
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯LaFlare targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (33% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

LaFlare
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

LaFlare · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.7W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L2013-042014-042017-022018-10
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

LaFlare · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Ryan LaFlare · Alex Garcia
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