UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
55%
Foster
45%
Larson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:25
BF
Brian Foster
"The Foster Boy"
27 – 10
5'9"71" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 23
BL
Brock Larson
42 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Foster

This is a genuine toss-up — Foster at 55% vs Larson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Foster has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Foster has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Foster
Larson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Foster
Larson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.4
18.8
56.9
Performance Avg
46.6
55
Quality of Victory
44
85
Momentum Score
66
Foster
Larson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Foster
Larson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Foster
Larson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/52 fights
Foster
Larson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Foster
Larson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Foster
Larson
Striking7.9 / 1.0Volume1.2 / 3.7Grappling2.7 / 6.1Wrestling1.9 / 4.3Submission3.3 / 6.7Pressure8.8 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Foster
Strike Zones
Larson
Foster
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Larson
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Foster targets the head (81% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Larson targets the body (100% of attacks) — Foster absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Foster
RND
Larson
0/0R00/0

Foster · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.8L5.2W1.5L5.0W5.6W2009-092009-112010-022010-092010-11
WinLossTrend

Larson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L2.8L2005-102006-122009-042009-052009-092009-11
WinLossTrend

Foster · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R1
Forrest PetzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Brock LarsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

Larson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brian FosterRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Sub · R1
Jesse SandersRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12

News & Media

Brian Foster · Brock Larson
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