UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Fort Campbell, USA
6 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
41%
Camozzi
59%
Larkin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Chris Camozzi
24 – 13
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
LL
Lorenz Larkin
"The Monsoon"
18 – 6
Striker2-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Larkin

This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 41% vs Larkin at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Larkin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Larkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Camozzi
Larkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Larkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
20.5
37.6
Performance Avg
47.0
31
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
92
Camozzi
Larkin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
3
Body
5
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance6
1Clinch11
0Ground0
Camozzi
Larkin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Camozzi
Larkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Camozzi
Larkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
92
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Camozzi
Larkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camozzi
Larkin
Striking2.1 / 7.0Volume6.3 / 4.2Grappling2.5 / 1.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.7Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Camozzi
Strike Zones
Larkin
Camozzi
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY8LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Larkin
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY8LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Larkin targets the head (47% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camozzi
RND
Larkin
0/0R00/0

Camozzi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L6.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.5L2010-062012-062014-072016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Larkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L5.8L5.0W5.8W5.5L4.5W5.6W2013-042014-052015-062016-08
WinLossTrend

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

Larkin · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Chris Camozzi · Lorenz Larkin
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