METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Fort Campbell, USA
6 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
41%
Camozzi
59%
Larkin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lorenz LarkinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Camozzi · UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Larkin
→
Actual result
Larkin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 41% vs Larkin at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Larkin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CamozziLarkin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Camozzi
Larkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Larkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
20.5
37.6
Performance Avg
47.0
31
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
92
Camozzi
Larkin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
5.7
6.3
Style: Volume
4.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
3
Body
5
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance6
1Clinch11
0Ground0
Camozzi
Larkin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Larkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Camozzi
Larkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
92
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Camozzi
Larkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camozzi
Larkin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
CamozziLarkin
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedLarkin
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Larkin absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Larkin targets the head (47% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camozzi
RND
Larkin
0/0R00/0
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
Larkin · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
John HowardKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01