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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 31: Locked and Loaded
Atlantic City, USA
4 May 2001
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Lindland
46%
Almeida
Win Probability
ML
Matt Lindland
"The Law"
229
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw56 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RA
Ricardo Almeida
"Big Dog"
135
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Matt LindlandwinsR3 · 4:21
def. Ricardo Almeida · UFC 31: Locked and Loaded

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lindland
Actual result
Lindland wins
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lindland at 54% vs Almeida at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Lindland's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Almeida has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LindlandAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lindland
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
56
Age
+49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lindland
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
18.0
53.0
Performance Avg
45.1
38
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
72
Lindland
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.1
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
3Ground1
Lindland
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lindland
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Lindland
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Lindland
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lindland
Almeida
Striking4.8 / 1.1Volume5.1 / 5.1Grappling2.0 / 5.2Wrestling1.4 / 3.6Submission1.1 / 5.0Pressure5.4 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Lindland
Strike Zones
Almeida
Lindland
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lindland targets the head (75% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lindland
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Lindland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joe Doerksen
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis Lutter
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David Terrell
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko Vitale
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko Vitale
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mike Pyle
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ Grant
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt Hughes
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt Brown
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall Grove
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Matt Lindland · Ricardo Almeida
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