UFC 31: Locked and Loaded
Atlantic City, USA
4 May 2001
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Lindland
46%
Almeida
Win Probability
ML
Matt Lindland
"The Law"
22 – 9
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw56 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RA
Ricardo Almeida
"Big Dog"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lindland

This is a genuine toss-up — Lindland at 54% vs Almeida at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lindland's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Almeida has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lindland
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
56
Age
+49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lindland
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
18.0
53.0
Performance Avg
45.1
38
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
72
Lindland
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
3Ground1
Lindland
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lindland
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Lindland
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Lindland
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lindland
Almeida
Striking4.8 / 1.1Volume5.1 / 5.1Grappling2.0 / 5.2Wrestling1.4 / 3.6Submission1.1 / 5.0Pressure5.4 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Lindland
Strike Zones
Almeida
Lindland
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lindland targets the head (75% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lindland
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Lindland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5W1.5L5.2W4.5W2000-122002-032003-022004-082005-08
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.6W1.5L4.5W5.5L2001-052008-022009-082010-122011-03
WinLossTrend

Lindland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joe DoerksenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis LutterRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko VitaleRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko VitaleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Matt Lindland · Ricardo Almeida
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