METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
56%
Garcia
44%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rafa GarciawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maheshate · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 56% vs at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Garcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+71"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
40.1
44.7
Performance Avg
38.8
32
Quality of Victory
43
75
Momentum Score
26
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.5
7.0
Style: Volume
4.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
2
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
5Clinch0
8Ground1
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
26
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Garcia
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAttacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (65% of attacks) — absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (67% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
0/0R00/0
Garcia · Last 5
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Rafa GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12