UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
53%
Green
47%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Green
This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 53% vs Miller at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Green
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Green
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
43.5
45.9
Performance Avg
51.5
38
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
28
Green
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
65
Head
11
15
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
64Distance18
6Clinch2
12Ground0
Green
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Green
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
28
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Green
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
14
9
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Green
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
GreenMiller
Strike Zones
Green
Attacking
82 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMiller
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
82 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (79% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (55% of attacks) — Green absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Green
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

