METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Welterweight
VS
46%
Chiesa
54%
Luque
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:25
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsSubmissionR1 · 3:25
def. Michael Chiesa · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Luque wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 46% vs Luque at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Luque has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaLuque
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Luque
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Luque
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
59.9
53.3
Performance Avg
56.1
43
Quality of Victory
50
50
Momentum Score
79
Chiesa
Luque
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.7
4.6
Style: Volume
2.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chiesa
Luque
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.1
9
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Luque
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Chiesa
Luque
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
79
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Chiesa
Luque
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
82%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
9
Submission Wins
7
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Luque
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
ChiesaLuque
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLuque
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Luque targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Luque
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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