★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Middleweight
VS
60%
Silva
40%
Marquardt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Marquardt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
51
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
16.8
71.6
Performance Avg
48.6
72
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
59
Silva
Marquardt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
63%
Strike Accuracy
52%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground1
Silva
Marquardt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/45 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Silva
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Silva
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
69%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Marquardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
SilvaMarquardt
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMarquardt
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (90% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (33% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Marquardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05