UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Lightweight
VS
91%
Felder
9%
Ricci
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:44
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
5'11"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
AR
Alex Ricci
10 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Felder

Felder is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Felder has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Striking split: Ricci throws more volume but Felder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Felder
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Felder
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.1
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Felder
Ricci
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
12
4
Body
3
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
23Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Felder
Ricci
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Felder
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Felder
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Felder
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Felder
Ricci
Striking5.6 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Felder
Strike Zones
Ricci
Felder
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY5LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Ricci
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY5LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Felder targets the head (61% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the head (57% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Felder
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Ricci · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2016-082017-02
WinLossTrend

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

Ricci · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

News & Media

Paul Felder · Alex Ricci
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