UFC 74: Respect
Las Vegas, USA
25 Aug 2007
Lightweight
VS
52%
Stevenson
48%
Pellegrino
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
33 – 16
5'7"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stevenson

This is a genuine toss-up — Stevenson at 52% vs Pellegrino at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Stevenson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stevenson
Pellegrino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
18.2
49.2
Performance Avg
50.1
49
Quality of Victory
45
86
Momentum Score
48
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch0
12Ground1
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
48
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Stevenson
Pellegrino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stevenson
Pellegrino
Striking2.3 / 2.6Volume4.0 / 3.5Grappling3.9 / 5.3Wrestling2.7 / 3.7Submission3.8 / 5.7Pressure5.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Stevenson
Strike Zones
Pellegrino
Stevenson
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Pellegrino
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the head (94% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (75% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stevenson
RND
Pellegrino
0/0R00/0

Stevenson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L4.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L2005-112007-042008-112010-022011-06
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Stevenson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Joe Stevenson · Kurt Pellegrino
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