UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
62%
Dober
38%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:53
Drew
Drew Dober
29 – 15
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dober

Dober holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Johnson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Dober has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dober
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dober
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
36.8
53.2
Performance Avg
42.5
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
35
Dober
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Dober
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Dober
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Dober
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
38%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dober
Johnson
Striking8.5 / 4.8Volume2.8 / 6.0Grappling1.0 / 1.5Wrestling0.7 / 1.1Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Dober
Strike Zones
Johnson
Dober
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (64% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dober
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dober · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W3.7L5.0W5.7W6.1W6.0L5.5L6.5W5.5W6.0W1.7L5.1W6.3L7.1L3.6L5.5W5.3W2013-112017-072021-032024-022026-03
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Dober · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Drew Dober · Michael Johnson
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