UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Jacksonville, USA
16 May 2020
Featherweight
VS
48%
Elkins
52%
Landwehr
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Nate
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Landwehr

This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 48% vs Landwehr at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Landwehr has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Landwehr has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elkins
Landwehr
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Landwehr
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
49.3
46.3
Performance Avg
42.7
35
Quality of Victory
41
66
Momentum Score
88
Elkins
Landwehr
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
42
7
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
42Distance43
7Clinch7
0Ground0
Elkins
Landwehr
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Landwehr
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Elkins
Landwehr
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
88
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Elkins
Landwehr
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Landwehr
Striking3.4 / 2.9Volume6.3 / 4.1Grappling2.8 / 4.2Wrestling1.9 / 2.9Submission1.6 / 4.0Pressure4.5 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Elkins
Strike Zones
Landwehr
Elkins
Attacking
39HEAD7BODY3LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
42HEAD4BODY4LEGS50 absorbed
Landwehr
Attacking
42HEAD4BODY4LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD7BODY3LEGS49 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (80% of attacks) — Landwehr absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Landwehr targets the head (84% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Landwehr
0/0R00/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Landwehr · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.9L5.0W1.7L6.7W5.3W5.2W6.2L5.5W5.8L5.2L2.0L2020-012021-102023-062025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Landwehr · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cub SwansonRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dooho ChoiRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Nate Landwehr
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