UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
62%
Williams
38%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Williams
Williams holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Gustafsson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Gustafsson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Williams
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
73"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
38.9
54.6
Performance Avg
35.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
87
Momentum Score
55
Williams
Gustafsson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
40%
Strike Accuracy
67%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
27
2
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance3
1Clinch13
0Ground17
Williams
Gustafsson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Williams
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
55
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Williams
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Gustafsson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
WilliamsGustafsson
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedGustafsson
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (60% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Gustafsson · Last 3
Upcoming
Daniil DonchenkoUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Khaos WilliamsRating 5.9Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06