UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Elekana
7%
Christian
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elekana
Elekana is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elekana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Christian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Christian has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elekana
Christian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+80"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elekana
Christian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.3
5.3
55.7
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Elekana
Christian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
5.4
59%
Strike Accuracy
71%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
2
Body
6
4
Leg
8
RangeRange
8Distance14
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Elekana
Christian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elekana
Christian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Elekana
Christian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Elekana
Christian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elekana
Christian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ElekanaChristian
Strike Zones
Elekana
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedChristian
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elekana targets the head (65% of attacks) — Christian absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Christian targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elekana
RND
Christian
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Elekana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Christian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Elekana · Last 5
Upcoming
Iwo BaraniewskiUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Christian · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Billy ElekanaRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11