UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Arlovski
35%
Rothwell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Rothwell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Rothwell throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rothwell has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Rothwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Rothwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
27.0
50.5
Performance Avg
49.7
47
Quality of Victory
48
94
Momentum Score
45
Arlovski
Rothwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
23
8
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
49Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Rothwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Rothwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
17/53 fights
Arlovski
Rothwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Arlovski
Rothwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
78%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Rothwell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
ArlovskiRothwell
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedRothwell
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (78% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Rothwell targets the head (92% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Rothwell
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rothwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12