METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
65%
Lawler
35%
Condit
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Carlos Condit · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Condit has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Lawler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawlerCondit
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawler
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
22.3
51.0
Performance Avg
47.8
45
Quality of Victory
48
90
Momentum Score
20
Lawler
Condit
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
48
2
Body
11
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
44Distance51
9Clinch11
0Ground0
Lawler
Condit
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
Lawler
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
20
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lawler
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
44%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawler
Condit
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LawlerCondit
Strike Zones
Lawler
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
62 absorbedCondit
Attacking
62 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (94% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the head (77% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawler
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04