UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Esparza
55%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Carla
Carla Esparza
"Cookie Monster"
20 – 8
5'1"63" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Virna
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
23 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jandiroba

This is a genuine toss-up — Esparza at 45% vs Jandiroba at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jandiroba has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Esparza
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Esparza
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
49.0
45.9
Performance Avg
48.7
35
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
45
Esparza
Jandiroba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Esparza
Jandiroba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Esparza
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Esparza
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Esparza
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Esparza
Jandiroba
Striking2.3 / 1.4Volume7.7 / 5.8Grappling2.7 / 4.0Wrestling1.9 / 2.8Submission1.0 / 3.3Pressure3.3 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Esparza
Strike Zones
Jandiroba
Esparza
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Jandiroba
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the head (88% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Esparza
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0

Esparza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.7W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L5.9L5.2W5.7W4.5W5.2W6.2W5.9W4.0L6.2L2014-122017-062019-042021-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Jandiroba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8L5.2W5.0W6.7L4.2W5.6L4.6W5.2W5.0W6.2W5.5W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Esparza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Jandiroba · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Carla Esparza · Virna Jandiroba
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