METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Esparza
55%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carla EsparzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Virna Jandiroba · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jandiroba
→
Actual result
Esparza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Esparza at 45% vs Jandiroba at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EsparzaJandiroba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Esparza
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Esparza
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
49.0
45.9
Performance Avg
48.7
35
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
45
Esparza
Jandiroba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
7.7
Style: Volume
5.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Esparza
Jandiroba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Esparza
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Esparza
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Esparza
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Esparza
Jandiroba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
EsparzaJandiroba
Strike Zones
Esparza
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedJandiroba
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the head (88% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Esparza
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0
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W · Dec · R3
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