UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Welterweight
VS
60%
Morono
40%
Zawada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morono
Morono holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Zawada has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zawada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Zawada connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono
Zawada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Zawada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
23.6
43.3
Performance Avg
40.4
35
Quality of Victory
54
20
Momentum Score
13
Morono
Zawada
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
9
1
Body
12
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance20
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Morono
Zawada
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morono
Zawada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Morono
Zawada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
13
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Morono
Zawada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Zawada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
MoronoZawada
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedZawada
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (96% of attacks) — Zawada absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Zawada targets the body (55% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Zawada
0/0R00/0
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Zawada · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
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Zawada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 5.5Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Abubakar NurmagomedovRating 5Submission
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L · KO · R3
Li JingliangRating 4.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5Decision
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