METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Welterweight
VS
70%
Morono
30%
Zawada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex MoronowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. David Zawada · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morono
→
Actual result
Morono wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Morono is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zawada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoronoZawada
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morono
Zawada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Zawada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
15.0
43.3
Performance Avg
40.4
35
Quality of Victory
54
20
Momentum Score
13
Morono
Zawada
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
7.6
6.7
Style: Volume
0.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
9
1
Body
12
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance20
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Morono
Zawada
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.5
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morono
Zawada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Morono
Zawada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
13
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Morono
Zawada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Zawada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
MoronoZawada
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedZawada
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (96% of attacks) — Zawada absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Zawada targets the body (55% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Zawada
0/0R00/0
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
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Carlos LealKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
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Zawada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Sub · R1
Abubakar NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07