METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
47%
Pereira
53%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:01
★ Official Result
Michel PereirawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:01
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 47% vs Oleksiejczuk at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
52.9
48.9
Performance Avg
54.0
40
Quality of Victory
53
39
Momentum Score
52
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
7.3
5.3
Style: Volume
2.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
24
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
52
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
PereiraOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the body (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Pereira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
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L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08