METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
46%
Pereira
54%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:01
★ Official Result
Michel PereirawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:01
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 46% vs Oleksiejczuk at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
54.6
50.5
Performance Avg
55.3
40
Quality of Victory
53
39
Momentum Score
52
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
PereiraOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the body (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
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Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
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