UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
46%
Pereira
54%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:01
Michel
Michel Pereira
"Demolidor"
32 – 14
6'1"73" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleksiejczuk

This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 46% vs Oleksiejczuk at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
54.6
50.5
Performance Avg
55.3
40
Quality of Victory
53
39
Momentum Score
52
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
8
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pereira
Oleksiejczuk
Striking3.3 / 9.2Volume5.3 / 2.8Grappling3.6 / 0.5Wrestling2.5 / 0.3Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Pereira
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Pereira
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the body (55% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pereira
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.9W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W6.0W5.0W5.4L6.3L2.1L5.5W2019-052020-122023-102025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Shara Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Michel Pereira · Michal Oleksiejczuk
← Back to fights