The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
80%
Pennington
20%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pennington
Pennington is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Pennington
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
60"
Reach
+65"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
12.7
39.8
Performance Avg
35.6
28
Quality of Victory
31
89
Momentum Score
35
Pennington
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pennington
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Pennington
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pennington
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
PenningtonLima
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLima
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
Lima · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Sub · R2
Tecia PenningtonRating 3.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05