METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
81%
Pennington
19%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:53
★ Official Result
Tecia PenningtonwinsSubmissionR2 · 0:53
def. Juliana Lima · The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
60"
Reach
+65"
37+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
11.9
39.8
Performance Avg
32.6
28
Quality of Victory
26
89
Momentum Score
35
Pennington
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
2.4
Style: Pressure
1.3
7.7
Style: Volume
8.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pennington
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Pennington
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pennington
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
PenningtonLima
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLima
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
Lima · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Sub · R2
Tecia PenningtonSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05