METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Mir
53%
Lesnar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:30
★ Official Result
Frank MirwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:30
def. Brock Lesnar · UFC 81: Breaking Point
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lesnar
→
Actual result
Mir wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 47% vs Lesnar at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lesnar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lesnar has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MirLesnar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mir
Lesnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
+81"
47+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Lesnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
23.6
57.4
Performance Avg
69.0
56
Quality of Victory
77
88
Momentum Score
66
Mir
Lesnar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.0
2.2
Style: Volume
3.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Mir
Lesnar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
8
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mir
Lesnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8 fights
Mir
Lesnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Mir
Lesnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
8
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Lesnar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
MirLesnar
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLesnar
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lesnar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lesnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Lesnar
0/0R00/0
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Lesnar · Last 5
Upcoming
Mark HuntUFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Shane CarwinSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R2
Frank MirKO/TKO
UFC 100 · 2009-07