UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Mir
53%
Lesnar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:30
FM
Frank Mir
18 – 11
6'3"79" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
BL
Brock Lesnar
5 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lesnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 47% vs Lesnar at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lesnar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Lesnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lesnar has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mir
Lesnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
+81"
47+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Lesnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
23.6
57.4
Performance Avg
69.0
56
Quality of Victory
77
88
Momentum Score
66
Mir
Lesnar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
70%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Mir
Lesnar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Lesnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8 fights
Mir
Lesnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Mir
Lesnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
8
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mir
Lesnar
Striking4.3 / 6.1Volume2.2 / 3.1Grappling4.3 / 2.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.8Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure7.5 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Mir
Strike Zones
Lesnar
Mir
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Lesnar
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lesnar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lesnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mir
RND
Lesnar
0/0R00/0

Mir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.1W2.1L5.0W1.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L1.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W6.2L1.5L2001-112006-022009-122013-082016-03
WinLossTrend

Lesnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W1.5L1.5L2008-022008-112010-072011-12
WinLossTrend

Mir · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Lesnar · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Hunt
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Alistair OvereemRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Shane CarwinRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R2
Frank MirRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 100 · 2009-07

News & Media

Frank Mir · Brock Lesnar
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