UFC 67: All or Nothing
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2007
Middleweight
VS
50%
Cote
50%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cote
This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 50% vs Smith at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Smith throws more volume but Cote connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cote
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
70"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
16.2
41.8
Performance Avg
43.0
38
Quality of Victory
55
79
Momentum Score
22
Cote
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
20
3
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance13
11Clinch8
0Ground0
Cote
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Cote
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Cote
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cote
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
CoteSmith
Strike Zones
Cote
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedSmith
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (67% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (95% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cote
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Cote · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
Smith · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · KO · R2
Pete SellRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04