UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Featherweight
VS
55%
45%
Wilson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — at 55% vs Wilson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Wilson throws more volume but connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Wilson has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
29+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
44.2
46.0
Performance Avg
42.4
60
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
29
Wilson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
32%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance0
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Wilson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/27 fights
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
29
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wilson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Strike Zones
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedWilson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (77% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
· Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 6.1Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Westin WilsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel SantosRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
JeongYeong LeeRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
Wilson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
YizhaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jeka SaragihRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Jean SilvaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Joanderson BritoRating 3.1KO/TKO
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