METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
22%
Reneau
78%
Tate
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:53
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Miesha TatewinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:53
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tate
→
Actual result
Tate wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tate is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tate has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReneauTate
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reneau
Tate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
49
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Tate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
52.5
44.1
Performance Avg
42.5
46
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
94
Reneau
Tate
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
4.5
2.4
Style: Volume
5.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
1Clinch3
0Ground10
Reneau
Tate
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reneau
Tate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Reneau
Tate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
94
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Reneau
Tate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Tate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
ReneauTate
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTate
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tate targets the head (78% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Tate
0/0R00/0
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07