UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
31%
Reneau
69%
Tate
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:53
MR
CFR 24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tate
Tate holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tate has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reneau
Tate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
48
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Tate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
52.5
44.1
Performance Avg
42.5
46
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
94
Reneau
Tate
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
1Clinch3
0Ground10
Reneau
Tate
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reneau
Tate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Reneau
Tate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
94
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Reneau
Tate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Tate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
ReneauTate
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTate
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tate targets the head (78% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Tate
0/0R00/0
Reneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07