UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Seattle, USA
8 Dec 2012
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Albert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Albert
This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Albert at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Albert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Albert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Albert has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jorgensen
Albert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+68"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jorgensen
Albert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.4
37.9
Performance Avg
44.0
41
Quality of Victory
60
54
Momentum Score
13
Jorgensen
Albert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
3.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
3
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
11Ground2
Jorgensen
Albert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Albert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
52
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Jorgensen
Albert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Jorgensen
Albert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jorgensen
Albert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
JorgensenAlbert
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAlbert
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Albert absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Albert targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jorgensen
RND
Albert
0/0R00/0
Jorgensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Albert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Albert · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yaotzin MezaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Sub · R1
Scott JorgensenRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
L · Sub · R1
Erik PerezRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
L · Sub · R1
Ivan MenjivarRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · KO · R1
Dustin PagueRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · 2011-12