METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
64%
Gastelum
36%
Melancon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
★ Official Result
Kelvin GastelumwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:26
def. Brian Melancon · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
→
Actual result
Gastelum wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Melancon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Melancon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumMelancon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Melancon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
34+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Melancon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
22.8
47.4
Performance Avg
56.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
28
Momentum Score
71
Gastelum
Melancon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
8.5
6.3
Style: Volume
1.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Gastelum
Melancon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gastelum
Melancon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Gastelum
Melancon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Gastelum
Melancon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Melancon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
GastelumMelancon
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMelancon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (71% of attacks) — Melancon absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Melancon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Melancon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
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Joe PyferDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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Melancon · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07