METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
64%
Gastelum
36%
Melancon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
★ Official Result
Kelvin GastelumwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:26
def. Brian Melancon · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
→
Actual result
Gastelum wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Melancon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Melancon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Melancon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumMelancon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Melancon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
34+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Melancon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
22.8
47.4
Performance Avg
56.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
28
Momentum Score
71
Gastelum
Melancon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
6.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Gastelum
Melancon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gastelum
Melancon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Gastelum
Melancon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Gastelum
Melancon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Melancon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
GastelumMelancon
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMelancon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (71% of attacks) — Melancon absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Melancon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Melancon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gastelum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Melancon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Melancon · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07