UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Welterweight
VS
64%
Gastelum
36%
Melancon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
Kelvin
Kelvin Gastelum
21 – 11
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
BM
Brian Melancon
7 – 3
Knockout Artist43 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gastelum

Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Melancon has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Melancon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Melancon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gastelum
Melancon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
34+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Melancon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
22.8
47.4
Performance Avg
56.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
28
Momentum Score
71
Gastelum
Melancon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
6.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Gastelum
Melancon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gastelum
Melancon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Gastelum
Melancon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Gastelum
Melancon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gastelum
Melancon
Striking3.3 / 10.0Volume6.3 / 1.0Grappling2.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Gastelum
Strike Zones
Melancon
Gastelum
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Melancon
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (71% of attacks) — Melancon absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Melancon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gastelum
RND
Melancon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gastelum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W6.1L4.5W5.5W3.6L5.0W4.5W6.9L5.5L2.4L4.5W6.4L6.5L5.2W5.1L5.4W7.5L4.5W3.0L2013-042015-112019-112024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Melancon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0105.0W1.8L2013-072013-08
WinLossTrend

Gastelum · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

Melancon · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

News & Media

Kelvin Gastelum · Brian Melancon
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