METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Montreal, Canada
11 Dec 2010
Welterweight
VS
55%
Alves
45%
Howard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Howard · UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 55% vs Howard at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesHoward
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Howard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Howard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
13.7
47.3
Performance Avg
40.1
42
Quality of Victory
34
63
Momentum Score
40
Alves
Howard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
3.5
4.3
Style: Volume
6.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
7
3
Body
2
14
Leg
8
RangeRange
28Distance13
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Alves
Howard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Howard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
14/37 fights
Alves
Howard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alves
Howard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
29%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Howard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
AlvesHoward
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedHoward
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Howard targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Howard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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