The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
10%
Beck
90%
Dobson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:53
AB
Ariel Beck
4 – 5
5'6"66" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 2
SD
Shana Dobson
"Danger"
4 – 5
Knockout Artist37 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dobson

Dobson is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dobson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Dobson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dobson has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Beck
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Beck
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.2
18.8
0.0
Performance Avg
46.3
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
59
Beck
Dobson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
21%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
3
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance14
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Beck
Dobson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beck
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
6/9 fights
Beck
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
59
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Beck
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Beck
Dobson
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Beck
Strike Zones
Dobson
Beck
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Dobson
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Beck targets the head (33% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Beck absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Beck
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dobson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.5L5.5L2.5L5.5W3.9L2017-122018-042019-082020-022020-082021-02
WinLossTrend

Beck · Last 1

L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

Dobson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Ariel Beck · Shana Dobson
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