METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Machida
52%
Couture
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:05
★ Official Result
Lyoto MachidawinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:05
def. Randy Couture · UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Couture
→
Actual result
Machida wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 48% vs Couture at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Couture has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Machida throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Couture has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MachidaCouture
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Machida
Couture
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
48+
Age
63
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Couture
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
20.6
53.8
Performance Avg
62.4
45
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
72
Machida
Couture
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
61%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Machida
Couture
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Couture
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Machida
Couture
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Machida
Couture
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
63%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Machida
Couture
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
MachidaCouture
Strike Zones
Machida
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCouture
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (80% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Couture targets the head (100% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Machida
RND
Couture
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Machida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08