METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Featherweight
VS
69%
Saragih
31%
Alexander
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:31
★ Official Result
Jeka SaragihwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:31
def. Lucas Alexander · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saragih
→
Actual result
Saragih wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Saragih holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Alexander has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saragih has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Saragih's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alexander has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaragihAlexander
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saragih
Alexander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+73"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saragih
Alexander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
22.8
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
28
Saragih
Alexander
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
0.5
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance11
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Saragih
Alexander
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saragih
Alexander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Saragih
Alexander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Saragih
Alexander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saragih
Alexander
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SaragihAlexander
Strike Zones
Saragih
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlexander
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saragih targets the head (75% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Alexander targets the head (55% of attacks) — Saragih absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saragih
RND
Alexander
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Saragih · Last 4
L · KO · R1
JooSang YooKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Westin WilsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Lucas AlexanderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Anshul JubliKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
Alexander · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GradKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Jeka SaragihKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Steven PetersonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Joanderson BritoSubmission
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