UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
22%
Nchukwi
78%
Murzakanov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:44
TN
Tafon Nchukwi
"Da Don"
6 – 4
6'0"77" reachOrthodox31 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Azamat
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
16 – 1
Knockout Artist37 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murzakanov

Murzakanov is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Murzakanov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Murzakanov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nchukwi's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
72.4
28.3
Performance Avg
64.3
25
Quality of Victory
50
25
Momentum Score
100
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nchukwi
Murzakanov
Striking0.7 / 10.0Volume8.7 / 3.0Grappling2.4 / 0.4Wrestling1.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Nchukwi
Strike Zones
Murzakanov
Nchukwi
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Murzakanov
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nchukwi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Murzakanov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nchukwi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nchukwi
RND
Murzakanov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nchukwi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W6.6L4.5W5.9L3.4L5.5L2020-122021-052021-092022-032022-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Murzakanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5W5.9W6.1W5.2W5.1W5.0L2022-032023-042025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Nchukwi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

Murzakanov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Tafon Nchukwi · Azamat Murzakanov
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