UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Nashville, USA
1 Apr 2009
Lightweight
VS
30%
Griffin
70%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anjos
Anjos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Griffin
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Griffin
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
38.8
42.3
Performance Avg
47.7
32
Quality of Victory
41
75
Momentum Score
49
Griffin
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
7
5
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance8
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Griffin
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Griffin
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Griffin
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Anjos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
GriffinAnjos
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAnjos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (55% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (88% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Anjos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Anjos · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07