METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Featherweight
VS
2%
Larsen
98%
Fili
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:53
★ Official Result
Andre FiliwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:53
def. Jeremy Larsen · UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fili
→
Actual result
Fili wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Fili is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Larsen's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LarsenFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Larsen
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Larsen
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.0
48.4
0.0
Performance Avg
41.2
0
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
100
Larsen
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
3.6
0.0
Style: Volume
6.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Larsen
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Larsen
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Larsen
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Larsen
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Larsen
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
LarsenFili
Strike Zones
Larsen
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedFili
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Larsen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (94% of attacks) — Larsen absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Larsen
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
Larsen · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · KO · R3
Lucas MartinsKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · KO · R1
Joe ProctorKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Fili · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Vinicius OliveiraKO/TKO
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