UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Lightweight
VS
46%
Nijem
54%
Vick
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vick
This is a genuine toss-up — Nijem at 46% vs Vick at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Vick throws more volume but Nijem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vick has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nijem
Vick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Vick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
17.7
43.4
Performance Avg
50.2
39
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
71
Nijem
Vick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nijem
Vick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Vick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Nijem
Vick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Nijem
Vick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nijem
Vick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nijem
RND
Vick
0/0R00/0
Nijem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Vick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nijem · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
James VickRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
Vick · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02