UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Hague
54%
Barry
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:42
TH
Tim Hague
"The Trashing Machine"
21 – 13
6'4"76" reachOrthodox43 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 16
PB
Pat Barry
"HD"
8 – 7
Striker2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barry

This is a genuine toss-up — Hague at 46% vs Barry at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Barry throws more volume but Hague connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hague's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barry has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hague
Barry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hague
Barry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.8
18.8
40.4
Performance Avg
47.3
54
Quality of Victory
51
33
Momentum Score
85
Hague
Barry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
59%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hague
Barry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hague
Barry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/34 fights
Chin rating based on
12/15 fights
Hague
Barry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Hague
Barry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hague
Barry
Striking0.4 / 8.8Volume0.4 / 2.4Grappling8.0 / 0.5Wrestling5.6 / 0.3Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.6 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Hague
Strike Zones
Barry
Hague
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Barry
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hague absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hague
RND
Barry
0/0R00/0

Hague · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L2009-052009-082010-022010-052011-01
WinLossTrend

Barry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2008-122010-062011-102012-122013-12
WinLossTrend

Hague · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Joey BeltranRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris TuchschererRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
W · Sub · R1
Pat BarryRating 5
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05

Barry · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01

News & Media

Tim Hague · Pat Barry
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