UFC 55: Fury
Uncasville, USA
7 Oct 2005
Welterweight
VS
44%
Riggs
56%
Lytle
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lytle
This is a genuine toss-up — Riggs at 44% vs Lytle at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Riggs connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Riggs's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Riggs
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
70"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riggs
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
18.3
39.3
Performance Avg
46.2
38
Quality of Victory
44
64
Momentum Score
56
Riggs
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Riggs
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Riggs
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/61 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Riggs
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
56
L · KO · R1
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Riggs
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riggs
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
RiggsLytle
Strike Zones
Riggs
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLytle
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riggs targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (100% of attacks) — Riggs absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riggs
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Riggs · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Riggs · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris CamozziRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · R2
Ron StallingsRating 4.2UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Diego SanchezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02